Movie Chronicles » The Dark Knight

Make Your Box Office Predictions Now July 18th, 2008

The Rejects Report over at Film School Rejects have put their money on a week­end gross of $136 mil­lion. This seems like a pretty good base­line to start out pre­dic­tions — the record, biggest ever open­ing week­end was set by Spider-man 3 at $156 mil­lion, sec­ond is Dead Man’s Chest at $135m fol­lowed by Shrek The Third on $121m (Source: Box Office Mojo).

The Dark Knight has already bro­ken one record, open­ing in the most theaters:

The film’s more than 4,366 domes­tic play­dates is a record, sur­pass­ing the 4,362 the­aters for May 2007’s bow of “Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End.” Dou­ble– and triple-screening at many venues means “Dark Knight” will play on 9,200 screens in the U.S. and Canada.

Its engage­ments include 94 Imax venues — Nolan shot long seg­ments using Imax-format cam­eras — and most of those giant-screen audi­to­ri­ums were sold out by mid­week. A Warn­ers exec esti­mated that Imax pre­sales totaled $3.5 mil­lion, with advance tick­et­ing for other venues adding con­sid­er­ably to that total.

Hol­ly­wood Reporter

Rejects ques­tion why Mamma Mia was released the same week­end as TDK — I’d say to cap­ture all those girl­friends and moth­ers that do not fancy a gritty action flick yet are being dragged to the the­aters by their wide-eyed male coun­ter­parts look­ing to get their Joker fix. A quick dash, a fork split, you watch this and I’ll watch that sort of thing — shame they’ll be wait­ing a good 45 min­utes after their movie has fin­ished, with the Dark Knight clock­ing in at 152 mins.

I’m going to stick my neck out and go for an open­ing of $157m, because I am an opti­mist and Spider-man 3 deserves knock­ing off the top spot.

Place your bets now… (sorry, no prizes on this one, I haven’t got any free stuff to giveaway!)

Comments 18 Responses to “Make Your Box Office Predictions Now”

Allen Brasch July 18th, 2008

I pre­dict $200 mil­lion. Yeah I just went there. I have three rea­sons for this esti­mate. One, this movie just broke the record for show­ing in the most the­aters at 4,366 the­aters in the US (http://​www​.first​show​ing​.net/​2​0​0​8​/​0​7​/​1​7​/​t​h​e​-​d​a​r​k​-​k​n​i​g​h​t​-​h​a​s​-​a​l​r​e​a​d​y​-​b​r​o​k​e​n​-​o​n​e​-​r​e​c​o​r​d​-​t​h​e​a​t​e​r​-​c​o​u​n​ts/). Two, movie the­aters had to add 3 am and 6 am show­ings. Three, I saw it and it is now my favorite movie of all time. Unforgettable.

DAVID S. July 18th, 2008

I will stick out my neck too, and say that TDK will break the Spider-man 3 record. The­atres were sold out for the Mid­night show­ing many weeks in advance that thou­sand of the­atres across the US began to open 3AM and 6AM show­ings imply­ing that tick­ets are sell­ing fast. And the fact that this is Heath Ledgers last film, and that Two Face makes a appear­ance in the film.

Tiffany July 18th, 2008

I def­i­nitely think it will beat Spidey 3… Heck, it just broke the open­ing night show­ing record with $18.5 mil­lion for the mid­night screen­ings alone (not includ­ing the 3AM and 6AM show­ings!). The record was pre­vi­ously held by Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith with $16.9 million.

The Dark Knight is amaz­ing. It’s every­thing I could ever want in a movie and it’s one to keep you com­ing to the the­aters to see it over and over again so you can catch every­thing! I’m not going to go as far as $200 mil­lion on this one, but I’ll say $160 mil­lion plus on its open­ing weekend.

Record #2: Mid­night Sales Record (Bat­man: The Dark Knight — Movie Chronicles) July 18th, 2008

[…] 2007 « Make Your Box Office Pre­dic­tions Now Record #2: Mid­night Sales Record July 18th, 2008, posted by FofR | Digg […]

Austin B July 18th, 2008

It will beat Spi­der­man 3 hands down, and could be one of the high­est gross­ing films of all time

allen lopez July 18th, 2008

I think that it will blow spidey 3 out of the water by a mar­gin , it made 18.5 in its first show­ing that’s gotta to be a record in its self I mean this movie is really great from begin­ning to end a heart pound­ing action film the best movie of the year to com­par­i­son I mean its by far one of the best movies I’ve ever seen the hype was worth it I waited a year to see this movie and ever minute was worth it.… GO DARK KNIGHT.…

PhilE July 19th, 2008

150 Million…I’m a man of my word…

Matt Peter­son July 19th, 2008

I’m say­ing 170 mil­lion. I’m going to try to see it three total times this week­end, so I’ll be doing my part to con­tribute. :-) Great website!

Dig­gler July 19th, 2008

It’s sim­ple… Kill the spider-man! Which Dark Knight will do with a 185 mil­lion dol­lar week­end and 470 mil­lion in total ticket sales. I am pro­ject­ing low for the sake of argu­ing the film can eas­ily do 500 mil­ion because the lines to see the movie are still very very very long and the buzz has not died. I hate all the Mar­vel movies to date finally D.C will take back it’s thrown!

Agen­tONeal July 19th, 2008

I’m going to say $181 mil­lion. I think peo­ple will be really sur­prised with how well this does.

Record #3: Dark Knight grosses $66.4m on day one (Bat­man: The Dark Knight — Movie Chronicles) July 19th, 2008

[…] $60m up, just $90m to go to beat that week­end record set by Spidey. Still time to make your pre­dic­tions. EDIT: Record con­firmed at $66.4m, smash­ing Spider-mans $59m! Source: […]

Record #4: Dark Knight takes $155.34m on open­ing week­end (Bat­man: The Dark Knight — Movie Chronicles) July 20th, 2008

[…] were hold­ing a straw poll on poten­tial week­end tak­ings, my Fri­day pre­dic­tion of $157m looks almost spot on :) , excellent! […]

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